Author Archives: Justin Esarey

[Update 12/2/2018 at 10:45 AM ET: A corrigendum to answers from Justin Esarey has been published.] “Redefine statistical significance,” a paper recently published in Nature Human Behavior (Benjamin et al., 2017) generated a substantial amount of discussion in methodological circles. … Continue reading →

Barry C. Burden, David T. Canon, Kenneth R. Mayer, and Donald P. Moynihan MacKinnon and Webb offer a useful analysis of how the uncertainty of causal effects can be underestimated when observations are clustered and the treatment is applied to … Continue reading →

I’m pleased to announce the schedule of speakers in the International Methods Colloquium Series for 2017-2018! Arthur Spirling (New York University) October 20th Roundtable on Reproducibility and a Stricter Threshold for Statistical Significance: Dan Benjamin (University of Southern California), Daniel Lakens (Eindhoven University of Technology), … Continue reading →

[Update 12/2/2018 at 10:45 AM ET: A corrigendum to this piece has been published.] by Justin Esarey, Associate Professor of Political Science at Rice University1 Introduction A large and interdisciplinary group of researchers recently proposed redefining the conventional threshold of … Continue reading →

[Editor’s note: this post is contributed by R. Michael Alvarez, Co-Editor of Political Analysis and Professor of Political Science at Caltech.] Over the past six months, Political Analysis has made two important transitions: the move to Cambridge University Press and to Cambridge’s … Continue reading →

I can’t let the recent death of my friend and co-author Will H. Moore go by without remarking upon the impact that his scholarly work and mentorship had on the scientific community. Will is probably best known as an expert on … Continue reading →

[Editor’s note: The following announcement comes from Ryan Baird, a Political Scientist at the Joint Warfare Analysis Center.] Call for Presentation Proposals:  Forecasting in the Social Sciences for National Security In recent years, the subject of forecasting has steadily increased … Continue reading →

The newest print edition of The Political Methodologist is now available! Click this link to read now: Volume 24, Number 1

The Political Methodologist is still in a transitional period, with the search for a new editorial team (and possibly a new publication structure) still ongoing. But 2016 was a great year for new work in TPM, and that’s been reflected in … Continue reading →