Author Archives: Justin Esarey

About Justin Esarey

Associate Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Wake Forest University.

Questions and Answers: Reproducibility and a Stricter Threshold for Statistical Significance

[Update 12/2/2018 at 10:45 AM ET: A corrigendum to answers from Justin Esarey has been published.] “Redefine statistical significance,” a paper recently published in Nature Human Behavior (Benjamin et al., 2017) generated a substantial amount of discussion in methodological circles. … Continue reading

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New Print Edition Released!

Volume 24, Number 2 of The Political Methodologist has just been released!   You can find a direct link to a downloadable version of the print edition here [update: a version with a minor correction has been added as of 5:23 … Continue reading

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Response to MacKinnon and Webb

Barry C. Burden, David T. Canon, Kenneth R. Mayer, and Donald P. Moynihan MacKinnon and Webb offer a useful analysis of how the uncertainty of causal effects can be underestimated when observations are clustered and the treatment is applied to … Continue reading

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International Methods Colloquium Schedule for AY 2017-2018

I’m pleased to announce the schedule of speakers in the International Methods Colloquium Series for 2017-2018! Arthur Spirling (New York University) October 20th Roundtable on Reproducibility and a Stricter Threshold for Statistical Significance: Dan Benjamin (University of Southern California), Daniel Lakens (Eindhoven University of Technology), … Continue reading

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Lowering the threshold of statistical significance to p < 0.005 to encourage enriched theories of politics

[Update 12/2/2018 at 10:45 AM ET: A corrigendum to this piece has been published.] by Justin Esarey, Associate Professor of Political Science at Rice University1 Introduction A large and interdisciplinary group of researchers recently proposed redefining the conventional threshold of … Continue reading

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The Future of Academic Publishing is Now

[Editor’s note: this post is contributed by R. Michael Alvarez, Co-Editor of Political Analysis and Professor of Political Science at Caltech.] Over the past six months, Political Analysis has made two important transitions: the move to Cambridge University Press and to Cambridge’s … Continue reading

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Will H. Moore, Scholar and Mentor

I can’t let the recent death of my friend and co-author Will H. Moore go by without remarking upon the impact that his scholarly work and mentorship had on the scientific community. Will is probably best known as an expert on … Continue reading

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Call for conference presentation proposals and a special issue of the Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Forecasting in the Social Sciences for National Security

[Editor’s note: The following announcement comes from Ryan Baird, a Political Scientist at the Joint Warfare Analysis Center.] Call for Presentation Proposals:  Forecasting in the Social Sciences for National Security In recent years, the subject of forecasting has steadily increased … Continue reading

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New Print Edition Released!

The newest print edition of The Political Methodologist is now available! Click this link to read now: Volume 24, Number 1

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2016 Year in Review (and the Most-Viewed Post!)

The Political Methodologist is still in a transitional period, with the search for a new editorial team (and possibly a new publication structure) still ongoing. But 2016 was a great year for new work in TPM, and that’s been reflected in … Continue reading

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