Author Archives: Anthony Fowler

About Anthony Fowler

Anthony Fowler (anthony.fowler@uchicago.edu) is Associate Professor in the Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago. His research applies econometric methods for causal inference to questions in political science, with particular emphasis on elections and political representation. Specific interests include the causes and consequences of unequal voter turnout, explanations for incumbent success, the politics of policymaking in legislatures, and the credibility of empirical research.

But Shouldn’t That Work Against Me?

Low power and low prior beliefs make it harder to obtain a positive estimate, but conditional upon obtaining a positive estimate, it’s more likely that we’ve obtained a false positive. So let’s dispense with the work-against-me defense. Continue reading

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